Kumari Palany & Co

Cyclone Phethai update (Tamil Nadu Weatherman)

Posted on: 16/Dec/2018 10:27:34 AM
Cyclone Phethai forms in Bay of Bengal and what is in store for KTC. We can expect rains in KTC today while Other places in TN will be dry.
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What a beautiful Round ball of convection (clouds). The intensification has started and just now IMD has confirmed the formation of Cyclone Phethai. 

Cyclone not for us
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As i said in the earlier post, we have to let go of this system to Andhra thanks to the Indo-pacific ridge far way and the westerly trough dipping in from North India. As a result of Westerly Trough, the Indo Pacific Ridge could not extend more west and Phethai is pushed away by the steering and goes north.

Tomorrow Rains in KTC while Other places in Tamil Nadu will be dry.
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We are interested in how close that big ball of cloud is going to come close to KTC coastal belt. Mostly KTC has chance of getting something out this Phethai and other parts of TN will remain dry. The districts near KTC might get some rains too.

With Cyclone Phethai expected to come closer to North TN, the district of Kancheepuram, Tiruvallur and Chennai (KTC) has chance of getting rains from the outer western bands today. It will be cloudy in KTC to start with and as day goes on there might be chance of one band of dense clouds falling over Chennai. In the past far away cyclones have given more rains than the ones which crossed over Chennai. There are two possibilities for KTC rains

Two possibilities for KTC rains - Windy day today
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1. If the Cyclone Phethai comes more west and close to Chennai the dense westerly clouds will fall over us and we might get moderate to heavy rains today.

2.If the Cyclone Phethai moves more east away from Chennai then we might miss the westerly clouds and we might get only light to moderate rains.

And its going to be windy day for Chennai irrespective of the two outcomes.

Lets track the radar today. One thing is sure. It will test the patience of each and one of the rain lover.

Luckless Chennai headed towards huge deficit irrespective of the how rains pan out today.

Courtesy - Tamil Nadu Weatherman