Severe threat from El Nino for India – Prospects of acute drought!
Posted on: 02/Jul/2014 2:39:24 PM
Australian Meteorological Centre has warned that the hot current circulation in Pacific Ocean, known as the ‘El Nino’ phenomenon, will cause monsoon failures in India leading to severe droughts.
Indian climatic conditions are governed by the heat conditions on the surface of the West Pacific Ocean. If the heat is at a sustained same level, Indian climate will be normal. Otherwise, there will be changes. This may be severe drought condition or excessive rainfall.
Indian climate is established every year by calculations based on the heat intensity on the Western coast of the Pacific Ocean.
Delayed monsoons
This year, there has been a change in the heat intensity level in the El Nino phenomenon. The reason for this is explained as the overall rise in the earth temperature.
South-west Monsoon in India occurs from June till August.
This year, even though the south-west monsoon period has already started, the rainfall so far has been well below expectations.
Generally, there will be rains during the last week of June in the Northern States in India. However, it has been delayed this year and the rains have started only during the first week of July.
Warning from Australian Meteorological Centre
El Nino effects are more intensified every year. El Nino conditions threaten the monsoon prospects. Australian Meteorological Centre has released a recent report. The report suggests that according to the current changes in the atmosphere, El Nino may surface earlier than usual. This means that El Nino effect will exist over a longer period causing a lot of great changes in weather conditions.
These sort of changes usually occur once in 3 or 5 years. During these periods, rainfall in India will be affected.
This Australian report concurs with the Indian Meteorological report which already announced that the monsoon rainfalls will be lower than average.
