Cyclone Nilofar to make landfall along the coast of Gujarat
Posted on: 29/Oct/2014 1:13:21 PM
Nilofar is now tracking toward the north under the steering influence of an upper-level high pressure system centered over southern India. During this time, Nilofar will be experiencing minimal wind shear and may, therefore, intensify a bit more in the short-term, though intensity fluctuations are difficult to forecast in intense tropical cyclones, due to eyewall replacement cycles.
By later Wednesday (local time), Nilofar will curl sharply northeast and accelerate, as upper-level jet stream winds grab hold of the cyclone. On this track, Nilofar will remain well east of the Arabian Peninsula.
These jet stream winds will impart increasing vertical wind shear, and drier air may also work into the cyclone. Both of these factors are expected to weaken Nilofar significantly by the time it makes landfall somewhere along the coast of Gujarat state or extreme southeast Pakistan.
