Very Severe Cyclone Vardah Update - Landfall will be close to Chennai
Posted on: 10/Dec/2016 10:37:00 PM
This is not an official forecast as it differs from that of IMD. Please refer IMD for official track. Till the official agency comes in line with the landfall location, this disclaimer will be put in my posts.
The severe cyclone has intensified one further notch and it is a Very Severe Cyclone Vardah now. It will continue to maintain the intensity till tomorrow and will then will start to weaken before landfall close to Chennai but still as a cyclone. Windspeed of close to 80-100 km/hr can blow over Tiruvallur, Chennai and Kancheepuram coast at the time of landfall which will happen around 12th afternoon or evening.
The JTWC model consenus track has changed close to Chennai from morning as they were initially showing landfall close to Ongole in the morning. Waiting for IMD to change landfall close to Chennai. Mostly they will change tomorrow. But as i said in the earlier post, not much change can be expected in the track with the models as there is some tight agreement among the World No.1, 2, 3, and 4 models (skill score).
Tomorrow the weather will start to change in Chennai and some rains can be expected and on sunday night / monday heavy rains are possible. More on rains a post will be put tomorrow.
I will also write a special report on the Cyclone tomorrow which have crossed Chennai in last 25 years. Can vardah clock over 100 km/hr winds. Last time Chennai recorded over 100 km/hr winds was in 1994. I was a 7th std kid watching through the window at midnight 1.00 am and hearing the howling sound. Its still fresh in my mind. Cant forget 1994 Chennai Cyclone.
issued on 10.12.2016 @ 22.00 hrs.
Ccourtesy : Tamilnadu weatherman
